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BeloitDem's Congressional Race Ratings, November 2021

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Welcome to the November 2021 edition of BeloitDem’s 2022 congressional race ratings!s. All seats not listed in the table below are considered safe for the party that currently holds them. All single-party general elections not listed are considered safe for the incumbent. Bolded seats are currently held by Republicans, while italicized ones are currently held by Democrats. Unformatted seats represent seats with no clear predecessor district. Explanations for changes below the fold As always, feel free to quibble.

GOVERNORS

Likely DLean DTossupLean RLikely R

CA-GOV

CO-GOV

CT-GOV

IL-GOV

OR-GOV

MD-GOV

NM-GOV

RI-GOV

ME-GOV

MN-GOV

NV-GOV

AZ-GOV

GA-GOV

KS-GOV

MI-GOV

PA-GOV

WI-GOV

NH-GOV

MA-GOV

FL-GOV

IA-GOV

OH-GOV

SC-GOV

TX-GOV

VT-GOV

SENATE

likely dlean dtossuplean rlikely r

CO-SEN

NV-SEN

AZ-SEN

GA-SEN

NH-SEN

PA-SEN

WI-SEN

NC-SEN

FL-SEN

IA-SEN

OH-SEN

MO-SEN

Likely Murkowski: AK-SEN

Note on house ratings: States will be added to the House rating list on a case by case basis. Intially, I’m just rating at large seats and seats where the range of possible redistricting results is narrow enough to allow a reasonable approximation of a rating. A table of which states have been rated and which states haven’t is below the rating table.

HOUSE

likely dlean dtossuplean rlikely r

CO-7

CT-2

CT-5

IL-6

IL-13

IL-14

IN-1

MN-3

NH-2

OR-4

OR-5

OR-6

TX-28

CO-8

IL-17

MN-2

NC-2

NV-3

NV-4

IA-3

ME-2

NH-1

TX-15

VA-2

VA-7

CO-3

IA-1

NE-2

WI-3

AK-AL

AR-2

CO-4

CO-5

IA-2

MN-1

MN-8

MT-1

NC-4

NC-11

NC-14

NE-1

TX-23

TX-24

VA-1

VA-5

WI-1

WI-6

WI-8

Rated StatesUnrated States
AK, AR, CO, CT, DE, HI, ID, IA, IL, IN, MA, ME, MN, MS, MT, NC, NE, NH, NV, ND, OR, RI, SD, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV, WYAL, AZ, CA, FL, GA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NJ, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, TN, WA


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